Election Prediction

I am hoping for an entertaining election night. For me, "entertaining" means a long night, full of upsets and surprises that will leave the analysts sputtering, with lots of too-close-to-calls and even a reversal or two late in the night. All accompanied by lots of Scotch. At my school, there is a prediction pool, and I have put in the following guess:

Electoral Votes
Obama/Biden - 278
McCain/Palin - 260

Vote Percentage
+2 for Obama (I didn't have to specify, but I think it will be 49.7-47)

I'll take one more prediction: the Jewish vote nationally will be 68-32 in favor of Obama

I'm not confident about these predictions, but if I am close, it will make for an entertaining night.